Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✓ (48.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +59 (111-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazmon Gwathmey * | 31 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Briann January * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Erica Wheeler * | 18 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Natalie Achonwa * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Erica McCall | 24 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Jennifer Hamson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Montgomery * | 27 | 7-9 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 23 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 24 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter