Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +17 (93-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayler Hill * | 35 | 8-22 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 2 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 31 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Krystal Thomas * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Asia Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 34 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 34 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 31 | 7-20 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 12 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter