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2017-08-08

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% - โœ—
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 โœ— (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 41.2% 58.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Dream -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maya Moore * 37 7-15 0-3 2-3 3 4 1 0 1 16 8 -
Renee Montgomery * 34 5-8 3-3 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 13 12 -
Sylvia Fowles * 32 7-8 0-0 13-16 13 1 1 4 2 27 36 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 30 4-9 0-1 2-4 9 3 2 1 2 10 14 -
Seimone Augustus * 29 2-8 0-0 1-2 1 5 0 0 0 5 3 -
Plenette Pierson 13 2-7 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 5 1 -
Jia Perkins 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 1 -
Alexis Jones 9 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Natasha Howard 3 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sancho Lyttle * 34 2-5 0-0 0-0 11 2 2 1 1 4 14 -
Layshia Clarendon * 29 6-12 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 13 7 -
Brittney Sykes * 28 2-12 1-6 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 7 -1 -
Elizabeth Williams * 27 7-13 0-0 2-2 11 0 0 0 2 16 12 -
Tiffany Hayes * 23 3-12 3-6 4-4 4 2 1 0 2 13 6 -
Bria Holmes 17 2-5 2-3 1-2 1 5 1 0 1 7 8 -
Tamera Young 11 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 0 -
Damiris Dantas 10 1-5 0-2 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Matee Ajavon 8 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 2 2 0 0 5 6 -
Aneika Morello 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Imani McGee-Stafford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter