🐻⬇️🏀

Little Rock

Also known as: Little Rock Trojans
Program History

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

70.2
PPG
72.9
Opp
-2.7
Margin
44.5%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
66.9%
FT%
34.4
RPG
13.9
APG
13.2
TO
79.7
Pace
67.4
AdjO
78.8
AdjD
#312
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 809 (#324) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 858 (#283) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 927 (#630) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -11.1 (#311) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +5.4 (#298) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.300 (#285) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -7.4 More → 0.299 (#232) NetEff -7.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.2 More → 0.148 (#316) AdjNet -15.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.4 More → 0.145 (#317) AdjNet -15.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 78.8 More → 0.261 (#312) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 78.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.510 (#224) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 71.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.560 (#304) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.535 (#301) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 29 More → 924 (#395) RD 157 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Lawson J. Lawson - 28 36.6 15.6 4.2 4.2 1.6 0.8 2.0 13.2 11.1 -13 -0.7 -0.9 37.8 32.1 82.6 -0.46 52.1 46.4
Cameron Wallace Cameron Wallace - 29 28.9 12.4 7.0 1.7 1.0 0.3 1.8 10.6 10.1 56 2.7 5.0 49.2 0.0 54.1 0.14 50.9 49.2
K. Nzeh K. Nzeh F 29 27.9 11.2 4.7 1.3 0.9 0.8 2.0 9.1 7.9 20 0.9 1.8 45.6 41.7 67.8 -0.0 56.2 54.2
B. Bayless B. Bayless G 29 32.7 10.3 4.0 3.1 1.4 0.2 2.3 9.3 7.4 -15 -0.7 -1.2 41.3 35.2 69.2 -0.72 50.1 47.0
T. Gatkek T. Gatkek - 28 31.5 9.5 6.0 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.7 6.8 12.2 52 2.5 4.5 58.7 25.0 65.2 0.2 61.0 59.0
Terrion Burgess Terrion Burgess - 6 23.5 7.5 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.2 4.3 7.0 -47 -7.8 -20.9 65.4 42.9 66.7 -0.31 71.9 71.2
Truman Claytor Iv Truman Claytor Iv - 26 15.8 6.2 1.5 0.6 0.7 0.2 1.2 5.8 2.3 9 0.5 1.4 40.0 33.9 72.4 -0.11 49.5 46.7
J. Thomas J. Thomas - 12 10.8 3.5 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.4 3.2 1.6 -15 -3.0 -50.3 36.8 45.5 80.0 -0.11 52.2 50.0
C. Pennyfeather C. Pennyfeather - 27 10.8 2.0 2.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 2.0 3.2 -92 -4.6 -21.8 47.2 100.0 33.3 -0.95 47.2 48.1
Tracy Steele Jr. Tracy Steele Jr. - 22 10.4 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.5 1.0 -21 -1.4 -7.8 32.4 33.3 46.2 -0.46 42.8 41.2
C. Hughes C. Hughes - 7 13.4 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 2.0 1.1 - - - 21.4 16.7 50.0 - 26.9 25.0
K. Robinson K. Robinson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 11 0.5 1.1 - - - -0.14 - -
Kellen Robinson Kellen Robinson G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11 0.5 1.1 0 0 0 -0.14 0 0
T. Jackson T. Jackson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 2 0.2 0.9 - - - 0.05 - -
Khasen Robinson Khasen Robinson G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11 0.5 1.1 0 0 0 -0.14 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG