Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +14 (78-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lawson | 39 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 6 | -7.3 |
| B. Bayless | 37 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -7.6 |
| C. Wallace | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -11.9 |
| T. Gatkek | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 19 | -0.9 |
| K. Nzeh | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +1.1 |
| T. Claytor IV | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -5.0 |
| C. Pennyfeather | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.8 |
| T. Steele Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dawson | 30 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +5.3 |
| G. Marshall | 28 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +5.9 |
| C. Parker | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +8.7 |
| J. Carroll | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +9.0 |
| D. Cunningham | 20 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -2 | +0.8 |
| T. Farrell | 19 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +7.9 |
| T. Releford | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -2.1 |
| A. Mellouk | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2.2 |
| J. LeGree | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -0.2 |
| V. Dawson III | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.0 |
* = starter