Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Nzeh | 38 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Lawson | 37 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. Bayless | 34 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 3-7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Wallace | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| T. Claytor IV | 27 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| T. Gatkek | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Pennyfeather | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Steele Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Fruster | 37 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| K. Jacobi | 35 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. White | 32 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| T. McMorris | 29 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| N. Fisher | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| P. Turner | 14 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| P. Johnson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Blackwell | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter