Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks -19 (58-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson | 39 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 26 | +1.6 |
| Braxton Bayless | 37 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -8.7 |
| Cameron Wallace | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +3.0 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +14.8 |
| Truman Claytor IV | 20 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +7.7 |
| Kachi Nzeh | 17 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | -13.0 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -5.6 |
| Tracy Steele Jr. | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.0 |
| Joseph Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Kellen Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Khasen Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Lorenzen | 32 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Danny Stephens | 26 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -11.3 |
| Makai Kvamme | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -12.0 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 25 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Marcus Pigram | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Antwaun Massey | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -9.6 |
| Francis Okwuosah | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Goanar Biliew | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5.8 |
| Ifiok Peter | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +9.5 |
| Steven Tipton | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Tyran Cook | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
| Nick Hittle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Jake Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
* = starter