Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.2% | 17.8% | -8.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks -19 (58-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lawson | 39 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 26 | - |
| B. Bayless | 37 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| C. Wallace | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| T. Gatkek | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Claytor IV | 20 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| K. Nzeh | 17 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
| C. Pennyfeather | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Steele Jr. | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kellen Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Khasen Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Lorenzen | 32 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Danny Stephens | 26 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Kvamme | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. Griffin | 25 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Pigram | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Massey | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| F. Okwuosah | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Biliew | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. Peter | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Tipton | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Cook | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Hittle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter