Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.7% | 95.3% | +16.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lawson * | 40 | 6-15 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | -5.5 |
| C. Pennyfeather * | 37 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | -5.3 |
| B. Bayless * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -3.6 |
| K. Nzeh * | 28 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 6 | -3.4 |
| T. Gatkek * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | -3.4 |
| T. Claytor IV | 16 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -2.0 |
| C. Wallace | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -3.9 |
| T. Steele Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Steffe * | 32 | 8-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 10 | +2.6 |
| R. Aligbe * | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +0.6 |
| D. Mayo Jr. * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Q. House * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -1.3 |
| P. Aligbe * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1.3 |
| J. Haynes | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +6.7 |
| D. Sykes | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +6.7 |
| J. Moreno | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +4.7 |
| I. Stafford | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +6.7 |
* = starter