Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears +38 (85-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hughes * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Lawson * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -4 | - |
| C. Pennyfeather * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Bayless * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Nzeh * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Wallace | 31 | 9-20 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | - |
| T. Steele Jr. | 20 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Thomas | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Claytor IV | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hunter * | 25 | 7-12 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| L. Moore * | 25 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Robinson * | 20 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| M. Marable * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| C. McCormick * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Byrne | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | - |
| H. Beauchamp | 15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Lee | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Guy-King | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Applegate | 13 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| E. Thomas | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Shulman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| O. Derhmann | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter