Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Marshall | 33 | 9-13 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
| J. Carroll | 32 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 25 | - |
| A. Mellouk | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Dawson | 27 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. LeGree | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| T. Farrell | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| V. Dawson III | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Parker | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Releford | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bayless | 34 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| C. Wallace | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| J. Lawson | 33 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| K. Nzeh | 32 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Gatkek | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Thomas | 25 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Claytor IV | 12 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Steele Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter