🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 84.9% 15.1% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 47.9% 52.1% +0.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% -
Log Adjusted 58.8% 41.2% -
Points Off/Def 47.1% 52.9% -

Actual: Little Rock Trojans -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Marshall 33 9-13 5-8 5-6 7 1 2 0 2 28 23 -
J. Carroll 32 9-13 0-0 4-5 13 2 1 0 0 22 25 -
A. Mellouk 31 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 4 1 -
C. Dawson 27 2-7 0-5 1-3 2 1 0 0 3 5 -2 -
D. Cunningham 23 1-6 0-2 2-3 2 3 1 0 0 4 4 -
J. LeGree 14 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 5 0 0 1 1 4 -
T. Farrell 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
V. Dawson III 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Parker 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Releford 8 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 4 -

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Bayless 34 5-12 0-3 2-3 3 2 1 0 2 12 4 -
C. Wallace 34 5-9 0-0 3-4 8 2 1 0 1 13 14 -
J. Lawson 33 5-8 3-6 2-2 1 1 1 0 3 15 7 -
K. Nzeh 32 3-12 0-4 1-4 5 3 3 0 1 7 5 -
T. Gatkek 25 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
J. Thomas 25 3-8 2-5 3-4 2 1 1 0 0 11 7 -
T. Claytor IV 12 3-5 1-3 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
T. Steele Jr. 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 -

* = starter