Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lawson | 38 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | -10.3 |
| K. Nzeh | 37 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -7.8 |
| B. Bayless | 37 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | -3.6 |
| C. Wallace | 34 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +0.3 |
| T. Gatkek | 34 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | +5.1 |
| C. Pennyfeather | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.7 |
| T. Claytor IV | 9 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -9.8 |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nkrumah | 36 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 10-12 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 27 | +11.8 |
| J. Pitre | 36 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | +3.9 |
| D. Harris | 34 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +3.8 |
| T. Harper II | 31 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | +10.0 |
| Ca. Williams | 23 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +11.2 |
| A. Lorick III | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.5 |
| D. Howard Jr. | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +3.6 |
| K. London | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.1 |
| K. Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
| J. Spikes | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
* = starter