Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | UT Martin Skyhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks +3 (55-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bayless | 39 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 4 | - |
| J. Lawson | 37 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Gatkek | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| K. Nzeh | 32 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Wallace | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Claytor IV | 22 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | - |
| C. Pennyfeather | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Steele Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Petkovski | 36 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Bukumirović | 34 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| M. Deniusas | 31 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| F. Radaković | 28 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| D. King | 22 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| P. Santos | 21 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| V. Khryapa | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Hopkins | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Colceag | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter