Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.6% | 17.4% | -13.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.5% | 25.5% | -5.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -5 (79-84). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nkrumah * | 38 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | -1.8 |
| Dante Harris * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +6.9 |
| Jalen Pitre * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +8.3 |
| Travis Harper II * | 28 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | +10.8 |
| Antoine Lorick III * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Khalil London | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5.3 |
| Kavien Jones | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -5.1 |
| Damon Howard Jr. | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -1.6 |
| JC Brooks | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Carlous Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.5 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson * | 40 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | -5.5 |
| Braxton Bayless * | 38 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | -11.0 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek * | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Kachi Nzeh * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | -2.4 |
| Cameron Wallace * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -4.5 |
| Truman Claytor IV | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.2 |
* = starter