Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.0% | 29.0% | -4.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nkrumah | 38 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | -0.3 |
| D. Harris | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +3.8 |
| J. Pitre | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +7.1 |
| T. Harper II | 28 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | +5.0 |
| A. Lorick III | 23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | +1.3 |
| K. London | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5.3 |
| K. Jones | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -7.3 |
| D. Howard Jr. | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -4.2 |
| J. Brooks | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.2 |
| Ca. Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.7 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lawson | 40 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | -0.2 |
| B. Bayless | 38 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | -0.5 |
| T. Gatkek | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | -2.8 |
| K. Nzeh | 28 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | -1.0 |
| C. Wallace | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +0.8 |
| T. Claytor IV | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | +1.7 |
| C. Pennyfeather | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.2 |
* = starter