Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SIU Edwardsville Cougars -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lawson | 40 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | +6.4 |
| T. Gatkek | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +5.9 |
| B. Bayless | 36 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +4.2 |
| K. Nzeh | 30 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +9.7 |
| C. Wallace | 26 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +6.8 |
| T. Claytor IV | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +1.5 |
| C. Pennyfeather | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jo Valrie | 32 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | -2.2 |
| A. Sakenis | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -2.9 |
| K. Thomas | 28 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | -6.7 |
| J. Campion | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | -2.7 |
| D. Baker | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -4.7 |
| T. King | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +4.7 |
| C. Efono | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13.4 |
| D. Robinson Jr. | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -4.4 |
| J. Pickett | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.5 |
* = starter