🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Illinois Panthers Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 55.9% 44.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% -
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% -
Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Log Adjusted 44.3% 55.7% -
Points Off/Def 41.8% 58.2% -

Actual: Little Rock Trojans +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Illinois Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jacobi 34 4-12 2-5 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 11 4 -9.9
Z. Fruster 31 4-12 2-5 4-4 1 2 2 0 4 14 3 -19.8
A. Washington 27 3-6 0-2 2-3 3 3 0 0 3 8 5 -7.0
M. White 27 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 3 1 1 3 5 6 -19.0
N. Fisher 26 4-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 0 8 13 -17.2
M. Olafioye 17 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 7 1 +9.1
P. Johnson 14 3-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 1 0 7 8 +5.9
P. Turner 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 +1.9
T. McMorris 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 +1.1

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lawson 36 3-9 3-7 6-6 3 8 0 1 2 15 16 +15.1
K. Nzeh 35 4-11 3-8 6-7 5 2 1 2 4 17 12 +12.8
T. Gatkek 34 5-7 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 1 2 10 13 +11.6
C. Wallace 30 7-11 0-0 0-0 10 3 1 0 0 14 17 +16.8
B. Bayless 28 5-12 2-3 2-2 3 2 2 0 3 14 6 +0.2
T. Claytor IV 25 2-5 0-2 0-2 5 1 1 0 1 4 5 +11.8
T. Steele Jr. 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -9.2
C. Pennyfeather 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -7.1

* = starter