Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +11 (74-63). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kooper Jacobi * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -8.7 |
| Zion Fruster * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | -19.1 |
| Meechie White * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -12.9 |
| Nazareth Fisher * | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -15.7 |
| Terry McMorris * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +2.7 |
| Andre Washington | 27 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -6.6 |
| Malik Olafioye | 17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | +9.4 |
| Prince Johnson | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +7.0 |
| Preston Turner | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +2.1 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson * | 36 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | +8.6 |
| Kachi Nzeh * | 35 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 12 | +10.5 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | +12.4 |
| Cameron Wallace * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | +13.3 |
| Braxton Bayless * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | -9.2 |
| Truman Claytor IV | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +8.2 |
| Tracy Steele Jr. | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.5 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.3 |
* = starter