Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | +8.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +19 (89-70). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amaree Brown * | 33 | 5-18 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Sheridan Sharp * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | -8.7 |
| Tolu Samuels * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | +3.8 |
| Ola Ajiboye * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -4.4 |
| Josiah Dunham * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Steven Clay | 17 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Cardell Bailey | 14 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | -16.6 |
| Ben Ezeagu | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Alem Fejzic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.3 |
| Devin Curtis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuongthach Gatkek * | 38 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 28 | +4.0 |
| Joseph Thomas * | 37 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | +7.3 |
| Cameron Wallace * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +18.5 |
| Kachi Nzeh * | 33 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 17 | -2.0 |
| Braxton Bayless * | 30 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | +3.9 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Tracy Steele Jr. | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +7.8 |
| Truman Claytor IV | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
* = starter