Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lawson | 40 | 7-19 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | -4.4 |
| T. Gatkek | 37 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | -0.8 |
| K. Nzeh | 32 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 13 | -1.1 |
| B. Bayless | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -6.6 |
| T. Claytor IV | 28 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | -5.2 |
| C. Wallace | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -1.3 |
| C. Pennyfeather | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4.0 |
| T. Steele Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Almodovar | 35 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +0.2 |
| BJ Ward | 35 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -0.3 |
| B. Terry | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -0.1 |
| B. Stacker | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +0.1 |
| M. Bell | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +2.4 |
| L. Blocker | 19 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +1.3 |
| T. Cole Jr. | 10 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +3.8 |
| P. Farmer | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.8 |
| E. Lowndes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| B. Sagna | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.9 |
| D. Idada | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
* = starter