Indiana Fever
2011 Team Stats (41 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1015 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1073 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1012 (#8) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +2.4 (#3) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +1.0 (#7) | HCA +4.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.603 (#2) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.608 (#2) | AdjNet +3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.609 (#2) | AdjNet +3.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.555 (#3) | AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.517 (#7) | AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 73.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.552 (#6) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.544 (#6) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1040 (#6) | RD 84 | GP 41 |
2011 Schedule & Results
2011 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Douglas
|
G | 41 | 29.7 | 14.8 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 11.9 | 9.5 | - | - | - | - | 45.8 | 44.3 | 72.0 | - | 57.3 | 55.0 |
M. Camby
|
- | 42 | 31.2 | 14.4 | 7.3 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 11.2 | 14.3 | - | - | - | - | 41.9 | 31.9 | 87.9 | - | 54.3 | 45.9 |
J. Davenport
|
C | 43 | 19.9 | 9.9 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 7.5 | 7.6 | - | - | - | - | 52.9 | 0.0 | 70.3 | - | 56.7 | 52.9 |
E. Phillips
|
G | 40 | 22.1 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 6.2 | - | - | - | - | 44.6 | 37.0 | 83.0 | - | 56.0 | 50.0 |
Scott Hazelton
|
- | 42 | 22.5 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 7.6 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 38.4 | 37.5 | 85.7 | - | 48.7 | 45.9 |
Briann January
|
Forward | 13 | 27.9 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 7.5 | 4.8 | - | - | - | - | 28.9 | 25.8 | 79.1 | - | 42.3 | 33.0 |
T. Sutton-Brown
|
C | 43 | 20.4 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 7.0 | - | - | - | - | 46.8 | 0.0 | 76.8 | - | 54.1 | 46.8 |
E. Thomas
|
- | 41 | 14.8 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 41.7 | 28.9 | 75.0 | - | 53.2 | 45.4 |
A. Olajuwon
|
NA | 1 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
J. Pohlen-Mavunga
|
G | 42 | 14.3 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 47.0 | 46.5 | 86.7 | - | 63.3 | 61.3 |
J. Moore
|
F | 2 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 90.2 | 100.0 |
S. Bobbitt
|
G | 40 | 13.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 2.6 | - | - | - | - | 33.1 | 32.7 | 75.8 | - | 43.8 | 39.4 |
S. Ely-Gash
|
F | 39 | 10.3 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 35.1 | 20.0 | 60.6 | - | 40.5 | 37.4 |
J. Morris
|
G | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2011 Shot Zones
2632 located field-goal attempts in 42 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
K. DouglasM. CambyJ. DavenportE. Phillips
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 537-918 | 58.5 | 1074 | J. Davenport 22% (236 pts) | M. Camby 15% (164 pts) | M. Camby 17% (64 misses) | T. Sutton-Brown 14% (55 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 104-364 | 28.6 | 208 | J. Davenport 21% (44 pts) | M. Camby 18% (38 pts) | J. Davenport 22% (58 misses) | M. Camby 14% (36 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 97-265 | 36.6 | 194 | K. Douglas 23% (44 pts) | M. Camby 22% (42 pts) | M. Camby 24% (40 misses) | K. Douglas 18% (31 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 33-86 | 38.4 | 66 | E. Phillips 24% (16 pts) | M. Camby 24% (16 pts) | J. Davenport 30% (16 misses) | M. Camby 21% (11 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 101-265 | 38.1 | 202 | K. Douglas 26% (52 pts) | M. Camby 26% (52 pts) | M. Camby 23% (37 misses) | K. Douglas 20% (32 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 37-89 | 41.6 | 111 | K. Douglas 30% (33 pts) | J. Pohlen-Mavunga 16% (18 pts) | K. Douglas 29% (15 misses) | E. Thomas 15% (8 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 22-65 | 33.8 | 66 | E. Phillips 23% (15 pts) | J. Pohlen-Mavunga 23% (15 pts) | K. Douglas 23% (10 misses) | J. Pohlen-Mavunga 19% (8 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 100-293 | 34.1 | 300 | K. Douglas 30% (90 pts) | Scott Hazelton 25% (75 pts) | K. Douglas 25% (49 misses) | Scott Hazelton 18% (34 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 39-88 | 44.3 | 117 | K. Douglas 33% (39 pts) | Scott Hazelton 26% (30 pts) | K. Douglas 22% (11 misses) | M. Camby 20% (10 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 75-199 | 37.7 | 225 | K. Douglas 39% (87 pts) | M. Camby 20% (45 pts) | M. Camby 27% (33 misses) | K. Douglas 22% (27 misses) |