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Indiana Fever

Also known as: Indiana Fever
Program History

2011 Team Stats (41 games)

76.9
PPG
74.1
Opp
+2.8
Margin
43.4%
FG%
37.4%
3P%
78.6%
FT%
32.3
RPG
16.0
APG
12.7
TO
75.1
Est. poss./game
74.7
Adj PPG
72.3
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1015 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1073 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More โ†’ 1012 (#8) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +2.4 (#3) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ +1.0 (#7) HCA +4.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.603 (#2) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.8 More โ†’ 0.608 (#2) AdjNet +3.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.9 More โ†’ 0.609 (#2) AdjNet +3.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 72.3 More โ†’ 0.555 (#3) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 72.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 73.9 More โ†’ 0.517 (#7) AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 73.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.552 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.544 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 84 | GP 41 More โ†’ 1040 (#6) RD 84 | GP 41

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-06-04 vs Chicago Sky W 65 - 57
2011-06-04 vs Chicago Sky W 65 - 57
2011-06-10 vs New York Liberty L 80 - 81
2011-06-11 @ New York Liberty W 86 - 80
2011-06-14 vs Tulsa Shock W 82 - 74
2011-06-17 @ Seattle Storm L 54 - 68
2011-06-19 @ Phoenix Mercury L 89 - 93
2011-06-21 @ Washington Mystics W 89 - 80
2011-06-25 vs Connecticut Sun W 75 - 70
2011-06-26 @ Minnesota Lynx W 78 - 75
2011-06-28 vs Phoenix Mercury W 91 - 86
2011-07-05 vs Seattle Storm W 78 - 61
2011-07-09 vs Washington Mystics W 68 - 57
2011-07-13 vs Connecticut Sun W 90 - 78
2011-07-15 vs Minnesota Lynx L 70 - 80
2011-07-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 71 - 76
2011-07-19 @ Atlanta Dream L 74 - 84
2011-07-21 vs Chicago Sky W 77 - 63
2011-07-28 @ Connecticut Sun W 69 - 58
2011-07-29 @ Washington Mystics W 61 - 59
2011-07-31 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 98 - 63
2011-08-05 @ Tulsa Shock W 85 - 65
2011-08-07 @ Chicago Sky L 69 - 88
2011-08-09 vs San Antonio Silver Stars W 81 - 68
2011-08-13 vs New York Liberty W 82 - 71
2011-08-16 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 65 - 63
2011-08-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 70 - 75
2011-08-21 vs Washington Mystics W 83 - 51
2011-08-27 vs Atlanta Dream L 80 - 86
2011-08-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 90 - 92
2011-09-02 @ Connecticut Sun L 55 - 83
2011-09-04 @ Chicago Sky W 88 - 80
2011-09-07 vs Washington Mystics W 87 - 69
2011-09-09 @ New York Liberty L 75 - 83
2011-09-11 vs Atlanta Dream L 88 - 93
2011-09-15 vs New York Liberty W 74 - 72
2011-09-17 @ New York Liberty L 72 - 87
2011-09-19 vs New York Liberty W 72 - 62
2011-09-22 vs Atlanta Dream W 82 - 74
2011-09-25 @ Atlanta Dream L 77 - 94
2011-09-27 vs Atlanta Dream L 67 - 83

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Douglas K. Douglas G 41 29.7 14.8 4.1 2.8 1.2 0.3 2.0 11.9 9.5 - - - - 45.8 44.3 72.0 - 57.3 55.0
M. Camby M. Camby - 42 31.2 14.4 7.3 3.2 2.0 0.8 2.2 11.2 14.3 - - - - 41.9 31.9 87.9 - 54.3 45.9
J. Davenport J. Davenport C 43 19.9 9.9 4.6 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 7.5 7.6 - - - - 52.9 0.0 70.3 - 56.7 52.9
E. Phillips E. Phillips G 40 22.1 8.1 2.6 2.3 1.0 0.0 1.6 6.2 6.2 - - - - 44.6 37.0 83.0 - 56.0 50.0
Scott Hazelton Scott Hazelton - 42 22.5 7.8 3.5 1.4 0.6 0.5 1.3 7.6 5.0 - - - - 38.4 37.5 85.7 - 48.7 45.9
Briann January Briann January Forward 13 27.9 7.5 1.5 4.8 1.7 0.0 3.3 7.5 4.8 - - - - 28.9 25.8 79.1 - 42.3 33.0
T. Sutton-Brown T. Sutton-Brown C 43 20.4 5.8 3.7 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.2 4.4 7.0 - - - - 46.8 0.0 76.8 - 54.1 46.8
E. Thomas E. Thomas - 41 14.8 5.6 2.5 1.4 0.3 0.4 1.0 4.3 5.0 - - - - 41.7 28.9 75.0 - 53.2 45.4
A. Olajuwon A. Olajuwon NA 1 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 - - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
J. Pohlen-Mavunga J. Pohlen-Mavunga G 42 14.3 3.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.6 2.7 3.0 - - - - 47.0 46.5 86.7 - 63.3 61.3
J. Moore J. Moore F 2 10.0 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 3.0 - - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 90.2 100.0
S. Bobbitt S. Bobbitt G 40 13.4 3.4 1.2 1.8 0.8 0.0 1.1 3.5 2.6 - - - - 33.1 32.7 75.8 - 43.8 39.4
S. Ely-Gash S. Ely-Gash F 39 10.3 3.0 2.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 3.4 1.7 - - - - 35.1 20.0 60.6 - 40.5 37.4
J. Morris J. Morris G 1 14.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2011 Shot Zones

2632 located field-goal attempts in 42 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Davenport22% Davenport21% Douglas23% Phillips24% Douglas26% Douglas30% Phillips23% Douglas30% Douglas33% Douglas39%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Camby17% Davenport22% Camby24% Davenport30% Camby23% Douglas29% Douglas23% Douglas25% Douglas22% Camby27%
Misses: who misses most here

K. DouglasM. CambyJ. DavenportE. Phillips

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 537-918 58.5 1074 J. Davenport 22% (236 pts) M. Camby 15% (164 pts) M. Camby 17% (64 misses) T. Sutton-Brown 14% (55 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 104-364 28.6 208 J. Davenport 21% (44 pts) M. Camby 18% (38 pts) J. Davenport 22% (58 misses) M. Camby 14% (36 misses)
Mid-range left 97-265 36.6 194 K. Douglas 23% (44 pts) M. Camby 22% (42 pts) M. Camby 24% (40 misses) K. Douglas 18% (31 misses)
Mid-range center 33-86 38.4 66 E. Phillips 24% (16 pts) M. Camby 24% (16 pts) J. Davenport 30% (16 misses) M. Camby 21% (11 misses)
Mid-range right 101-265 38.1 202 K. Douglas 26% (52 pts) M. Camby 26% (52 pts) M. Camby 23% (37 misses) K. Douglas 20% (32 misses)
Left corner 3 37-89 41.6 111 K. Douglas 30% (33 pts) J. Pohlen-Mavunga 16% (18 pts) K. Douglas 29% (15 misses) E. Thomas 15% (8 misses)
Right corner 3 22-65 33.8 66 E. Phillips 23% (15 pts) J. Pohlen-Mavunga 23% (15 pts) K. Douglas 23% (10 misses) J. Pohlen-Mavunga 19% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 left 100-293 34.1 300 K. Douglas 30% (90 pts) Scott Hazelton 25% (75 pts) K. Douglas 25% (49 misses) Scott Hazelton 18% (34 misses)
Above-break 3 center 39-88 44.3 117 K. Douglas 33% (39 pts) Scott Hazelton 26% (30 pts) K. Douglas 22% (11 misses) M. Camby 20% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 right 75-199 37.7 225 K. Douglas 39% (87 pts) M. Camby 20% (45 pts) M. Camby 27% (33 misses) K. Douglas 22% (27 misses)