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2011-07-29

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 92.8% 7.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 87.5% 12.5% - โœ“
Margin 89.3% 10.7% -11.7 โœ“ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 76.7% 23.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.9% 8.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.1% 25.9% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics -2 (59-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 34 6-12 2-3 2-2 9 5 0 2 4 16 16 -
Katie Douglas * 32 4-9 2-5 0-0 5 2 2 1 0 10 11 -
Erin Phillips * 29 1-3 0-1 4-4 3 3 4 0 2 6 11 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 19 5-7 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 12 6 -
Tangela Smith * 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -1 -
Shyra Ely-Gash 20 0-5 0-1 1-4 3 1 0 1 1 1 0 -
Jessica Davenport 20 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 4 2 10 10 -
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Shannon Bobbitt 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Shavonte Zellous 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Crystal Langhorne * 35 8-11 0-0 1-2 7 3 0 0 1 17 15 -
Matee Ajavon * 31 7-19 1-4 4-7 3 4 2 0 2 19 7 -
Kelly Miller * 28 1-4 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
Marissa Coleman * 25 2-10 1-6 0-0 4 0 2 2 1 5 2 -
Nicky Anosike * 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 6 7 -
DeMya Walker 26 0-7 0-1 1-2 10 2 0 0 1 1 5 -
Kerri Gardin 18 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 1 1 2 5 -
Jasmine Thomas 15 2-10 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 4 -6 -

* = starter