Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -6 (80-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 40 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Alison Bales | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Coco Miller | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 32 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 31 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter