Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -6 (80-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 40 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| E. de Souza | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| A. Herrington | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 27 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| I. Castro | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Paris | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Bales | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Miller | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 33 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| T. Catchings | 31 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| K. Douglas | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| E. Phillips | 30 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Davenport | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| S. Zellous | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Ely-Gash | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter