Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 92.4% | 7.6% | -13.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +4 (93-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Briann January * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 25 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 8 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 39 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 22 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 40 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 31 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 38 | 10-23 | 3-12 | 9-12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 14 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 33 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 33 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris | 22 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Alexis Gray-Lawson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nakia Sanford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter