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2011-06-17

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 68.0% 32.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 63.9% 36.1% - โœ—
Margin 62.6% 37.4% -2.8 โœ— (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 75.5% 24.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 75.6% 24.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.6% 43.4% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 28 4-11 0-3 0-0 14 0 1 0 2 8 10 -
Katie Douglas * 27 4-7 1-2 2-4 6 1 2 0 1 11 12 -
Tangela Smith * 22 1-9 0-3 4-4 3 0 0 1 2 6 -1 -
Briann January * 20 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 4 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 14 0-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 3 1 2 4 -
Jessica Davenport 25 2-7 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 6 2 7 7 -
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga 21 3-6 0-3 3-3 3 1 0 2 2 9 7 -
Erin Phillips 17 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
Shyra Ely-Gash 10 0-2 0-1 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Shavonte Zellous 6 1-2 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Shannon Bobbitt 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 34 5-13 1-6 1-1 1 4 1 0 1 12 4 -
Swin Cash * 32 4-14 1-3 5-8 8 5 0 1 1 14 13 -
Lauren Jackson * 29 2-11 1-4 4-5 6 0 2 0 2 9 4 -
Tanisha Wright * 23 3-9 0-2 1-1 3 3 0 0 2 7 2 -
Camille Smith * 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 0 5 11 -
Katie Smith 26 2-7 0-3 2-2 5 1 2 0 1 6 6 -
Le'coe Willingham 20 3-6 0-1 4-4 7 1 2 0 2 10 12 -
Ashley Robinson 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Belinda Snell 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Ify Ibekwe 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Krystal Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter