Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✗ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -2 (63-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 35 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 24 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 17 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 25 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Porsha Phillips | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter