Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 40 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| E. de Souza | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| A. Herrington | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 32 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| I. Castro | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 17 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| A. Bales | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Miller | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 36 | 9-15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 24 | - |
| K. Douglas | 34 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Catchings | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| S. Zellous | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| E. Phillips | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Davenport | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter