Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 35 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 14 | - |
| K. Lawson | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. Charles | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A. Jones | 31 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | - |
| K. Greene | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| T. White | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. McCray | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Griffin | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Walker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Moore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Hightower | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 32 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Catchings | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| B. January | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Smith | 27 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Davenport | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| S. Zellous | 14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Ely-Gash | 8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| E. Phillips | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter