Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | +6.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +5 (75-70). Ratings: 2012 season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Montgomery * | 34 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 31 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Tan White | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Allison Hightower | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Briann January * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 26 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jessica Davenport * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter