Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +5 (91-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | -2 | - |
| C. Dupree | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| P. Taylor | 26 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 24 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 24 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Swanier | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Braxton | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| N. Sanford | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 36 | 9-15 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| T. Catchings | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| J. Davenport | 27 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 16 | - |
| B. January | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| T. Smith | 15 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Zellous | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Ely-Gash | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter