Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -5 (88-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 25 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 12-14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 26 | - |
| A. Bales | 25 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| A. Herrington | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C. Miller | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 20 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| C. Paris | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. de Souza | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| I. Castro | 15 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5 | - |
| S. Irvin | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 34 | 11-18 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 17 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 29 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Zellous | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Davenport | 27 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Smith | 18 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Ely-Gash | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter