Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✗ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -16 (67-83). Ratings: 2012 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 35 | 7-15 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 32 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 11-19 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 31 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alison Bales | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Coco Miller | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sandora Irvin | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 30 | 6-18 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Tamika Catchings | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 3 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter