Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✗ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -16 (67-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 39 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| I. Castro | 36 | 7-15 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 11 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 33 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 11-19 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 27 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 31 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Herrington | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Bales | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Miller | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Irvin | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Paris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 30 | 6-18 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 3 | - |
| E. Phillips | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Zellous | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Smith | 27 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Catchings | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Davenport | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Ely-Gash | 3 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter