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2011-07-28

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 41.7% 58.3% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun -11 (58-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 34 4-5 2-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 10 11 -
T. Catchings 32 4-11 3-3 5-5 6 1 3 2 4 16 13 -
S. Bobbitt 27 4-10 2-5 3-4 4 5 5 0 2 13 15 -
J. Davenport 24 4-13 0-0 2-3 10 1 1 0 3 10 6 -
S. Ely-Gash 23 2-7 0-2 2-2 7 0 0 2 1 6 7 -
T. Smith 17 1-9 0-2 0-2 6 2 0 0 2 2 -1 -
T. Sutton-Brown 16 1-5 0-0 4-4 4 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
E. Phillips 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 4 3 -
S. Zellous 12 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Montgomery 33 4-13 0-6 2-2 1 3 1 0 3 10 -1 -
T. Charles 30 5-16 0-0 3-4 10 2 0 1 2 13 8 -
K. Greene 27 3-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
A. Jones 26 1-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 2 4 2 1 -
K. Lawson 24 2-10 0-4 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 7 0 -
D. McCray 18 3-9 1-3 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 9 9 -
T. White 14 2-6 0-1 2-2 2 0 2 0 1 6 3 -
K. Griffin 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 1 1 1 4 -
J. Moore 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Hightower 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter