Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -11 (58-69). Ratings: 2012 season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga * | 33 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 31 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 16 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 23 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Montgomery * | 33 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 29 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Danielle McCray * | 18 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 23 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Tan White | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Allison Hightower | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter