Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +17 (94-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 36 | 8-15 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 20 | - |
| T. Catchings | 33 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Davenport | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Zellous | 23 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| E. Phillips | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Smith | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Ely-Gash | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Castro | 38 | 13-22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 14 | - |
| L. Harding | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 34 | 11-23 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 15 | - |
| A. Herrington | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Bales | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| C. Miller | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Paris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Irvin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter