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2011-09-17

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% -
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -

Actual: New York Liberty +15 (87-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Douglas 29 7-16 3-10 3-3 1 3 0 0 1 20 7 -
T. Catchings 29 1-8 0-3 0-2 9 2 0 0 6 2 -1 -
E. Phillips 27 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 4 2 0 3 6 6 -
T. Sutton-Brown 25 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 8 10 -
T. Smith 24 3-9 1-2 0-0 5 2 3 0 1 7 7 -
J. Davenport 19 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
S. Zellous 17 5-6 1-1 2-5 0 0 0 0 1 13 6 -
S. Bobbitt 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 0 -1 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 10 3-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
S. Ely-Gash 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 32 6-9 3-5 4-4 5 3 3 0 3 19 18 -
C. Pondexter 32 5-15 1-7 3-3 5 5 1 0 1 14 9 -
P. Pierson 27 7-11 0-0 1-1 3 3 1 2 2 15 11 -
K. Vaughn 26 2-3 0-0 6-6 5 3 3 1 0 10 19 -
E. Carson 25 4-10 0-2 4-5 4 3 2 1 2 12 10 -
L. Mitchell 24 3-5 3-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 9 7 -
K. Braxton 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 2 6 -
Q. Hollingsworth 13 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
A. Montgomery 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
S. Colson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter