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2011-07-13

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 41.2% 58.8% -
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% -
Margin 32.7% 67.3% +4.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -

Actual: Indiana Fever +12 (90-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Charles 36 4-11 0-0 7-7 11 1 2 2 3 15 17 -
R. Montgomery 29 2-12 1-8 1-2 2 4 1 0 2 6 -1 -
T. White 24 5-6 5-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 17 12 -
K. Lawson 24 4-7 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 11 2 -
D. McCray 23 3-6 2-4 1-2 2 3 0 1 1 9 8 -
A. Jones 20 5-10 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 10 7 -
K. Griffin 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
K. Greene 17 1-4 0-2 4-4 5 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
D. Walker 4 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
A. Hightower 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Douglas 32 8-18 3-6 1-2 1 4 1 0 0 20 8 -
E. Phillips 31 5-5 2-2 1-1 5 4 2 0 1 13 18 -
T. Catchings 31 3-8 1-1 6-6 5 7 1 1 1 13 18 -
T. Smith 25 3-7 2-3 2-2 1 1 1 1 1 10 6 -
J. Davenport 22 5-10 0-0 4-4 4 1 3 1 1 14 12 -
T. Sutton-Brown 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 3 4 -
S. Ely-Gash 15 4-6 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 10 3 -
S. Zellous 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 2 3 -
S. Bobbitt 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 7 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter