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2011-08-21

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 3.0% 97.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.4% 92.6% - โœ“
Margin 3.6% 96.4% +18.1 โœ“ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 17.3% 82.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.1% 97.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 16.9% 83.1% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +32 (83-51). Ratings: 2012 season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marissa Coleman * 30 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 6 5 -
Matee Ajavon * 30 2-7 1-3 2-3 2 3 1 1 4 7 3 -
Crystal Langhorne * 28 5-11 0-0 1-4 7 2 2 1 4 11 8 -
Nicky Anosike * 25 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 4 1 4 9 -
Kelly Miller * 18 1-6 1-3 1-2 1 2 0 1 5 4 -3 -
Jasmine Thomas 25 4-13 3-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 11 3 -
DeMya Walker 22 4-8 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 8 6 -
Kerri Gardin 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
Victoria Dunlap 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Douglas * 27 5-16 3-5 2-2 5 2 1 0 1 15 6 -
Tamika Catchings * 26 5-9 0-0 3-4 8 5 4 1 1 13 21 -
Tangela Smith * 22 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 2 2 1 3 7 2 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 20 2-3 0-0 4-4 3 1 2 1 1 8 11 -
Erin Phillips * 20 1-3 0-0 7-8 3 2 0 0 1 9 10 -
Shannon Bobbitt 19 0-3 0-0 2-2 0 3 4 0 0 2 6 -
Jessica Davenport 19 5-10 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 1 1 14 9 -
Shyra Ely-Gash 17 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Shavonte Zellous 13 2-3 0-0 4-5 2 1 0 0 0 8 8 -
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 3 7 -

* = starter