Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 36 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 30 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 30 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 29 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 39 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 7-12 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 25 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| LaToya Sanders | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter