Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +2 (92-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Phillips | 34 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| T. Catchings | 31 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| K. Douglas | 31 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 6 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Zellous | 23 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Smith | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Davenport | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Ely-Gash | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 34 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 33 | 11-21 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| A. Herrington | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| E. de Souza | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| I. Castro | 18 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -5 | - |
| C. Miller | 13 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Bales | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Irvin | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Paris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter