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2011-07-09

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% -
Bradley-Terry 14.9% 85.1% -
Margin 9.6% 90.4% +12.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 22.3% 77.7% -

Actual: Indiana Fever +11 (68-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coleman 38 4-11 3-5 0-0 9 3 1 0 4 11 9 -
K. Miller 35 3-8 1-4 0-0 0 4 1 1 4 7 1 -
N. Anosike 31 5-11 0-0 2-4 6 0 3 0 1 12 9 -
V. Dunlap 30 4-10 0-0 0-0 8 2 3 3 2 8 12 -
M. Ajavon 18 3-7 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 8 2 -
J. Thomas 16 2-4 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 6 2 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 13 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
K. Gardin 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 1 2 1 7 -
T. Phillips 9 1-1 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 1 1 4 4 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Phillips 37 5-9 2-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 4 14 7 -
T. Catchings 33 4-13 0-1 2-2 7 4 6 3 0 10 17 -
K. Douglas 30 6-10 0-2 0-0 3 3 4 0 3 12 9 -
S. Zellous 27 5-9 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 1 1 11 8 -
J. Davenport 25 5-8 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 2 0 11 9 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 17 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
T. Sutton-Brown 15 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 2 2 0 6 10 -
S. Ely-Gash 14 1-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
S. Bobbitt 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter