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NCAAW NCAA Tournament Sim

Tournament board plus Monte Carlo odds using the best current bakeoff model by default.

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Source field: Internal S-curve. Sim engine: Ensemble Recency.

Random boards are shareable by seed. The copy link on the bracket preserves the current board and score toggle.

NCAAW NCAA Tournament

Printable bracket

Internal S-curve. Ensemble Recency.

Most Likely Generate Sim Bracket
Season: 2025-2026 Board: Most Likely Path Sims: 4,000 Upsets: 0 Champion: UCLA Bruins
R64
R64
R32
R32
S16
S16
E8
E8
Final Four
Championship
East UCLA Bruins
West South Carolina Gamecocks
South Texas Longhorns
Midwest UConn Huskies
1 UCLA Bruins 16 San Diego State Aztecs
8 USC Trojans 9 Virginia Cavaliers
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 12 Rhode Island Rams
4 Iowa Hawkeyes 13 Clemson Tigers
6 Alabama Crimson Tide 11 Fairfield Stags
3 Oklahoma Sooners 14 California Golden Bears
7 Princeton Tigers 10 Colorado Buffaloes
2 Vanderbilt Commodores 15 Marshall Thundering Herd
1 UCLA Bruins 8 USC Trojans
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4 Iowa Hawkeyes
6 Alabama Crimson Tide 3 Oklahoma Sooners
7 Princeton Tigers 2 Vanderbilt Commodores
1 UCLA Bruins 4 Iowa Hawkeyes
3 Oklahoma Sooners 2 Vanderbilt Commodores
1 UCLA Bruins 2 Vanderbilt Commodores
1 Texas Longhorns 16 Colorado State Rams
8 Oregon Ducks 9 Tennessee Lady Volunteers
5 Maryland Terrapins 12 Kansas Jayhawks
4 Kentucky Wildcats 13 Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters
6 Washington Huskies 11 Harvard Crimson
3 North Carolina Tar Heels 14 BYU Cougars
7 Oklahoma State Cowgirls 10 Texas Tech Lady Raiders
2 Duke Blue Devils 15 Montana State Bobcats
1 Texas Longhorns 8 Oregon Ducks
5 Maryland Terrapins 4 Kentucky Wildcats
6 Washington Huskies 3 North Carolina Tar Heels
7 Oklahoma State Cowgirls 2 Duke Blue Devils
1 Texas Longhorns 4 Kentucky Wildcats
3 North Carolina Tar Heels 2 Duke Blue Devils
1 Texas Longhorns 2 Duke Blue Devils
1 South Carolina Gamecocks 16 Indiana Hoosiers
8 Illinois Fighting Illini 9 Baylor Bears
5 Minnesota Golden Gophers 12 North Dakota State Bison
4 Louisville Cardinals 13 Iowa State Cyclones
6 Michigan State Spartans 11 Georgia Lady Bulldogs
3 TCU Horned Frogs 14 George Mason Patriots
7 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 10 Virginia Tech Hokies
2 Michigan Wolverines 15 Rice Owls
1 South Carolina Gamecocks 8 Illinois Fighting Illini
5 Minnesota Golden Gophers 4 Louisville Cardinals
6 Michigan State Spartans 3 TCU Horned Frogs
7 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 2 Michigan Wolverines
1 South Carolina Gamecocks 4 Louisville Cardinals
3 TCU Horned Frogs 2 Michigan Wolverines
1 South Carolina Gamecocks 2 Michigan Wolverines
1 UConn Huskies 16 Charleston Cougars
8 James Madison Dukes 9 Villanova Wildcats
5 Columbia Lions 12 Richmond Spiders
4 Ohio State Buckeyes 13 Florida Gators
6 Ole Miss Rebels 11 Syracuse Orange
3 West Virginia Mountaineers 14 Gonzaga Bulldogs
7 NC State Wolfpack 10 Nebraska Cornhuskers
2 LSU Tigers 15 Miami (OH) Redhawks
1 UConn Huskies 8 James Madison Dukes
5 Columbia Lions 4 Ohio State Buckeyes
6 Ole Miss Rebels 3 West Virginia Mountaineers
7 NC State Wolfpack 2 LSU Tigers
1 UConn Huskies 4 Ohio State Buckeyes
3 West Virginia Mountaineers 2 LSU Tigers
1 UConn Huskies 2 LSU Tigers
1 UCLA Bruins 1 South Carolina Gamecocks
1 Texas Longhorns 1 UConn Huskies
1 UCLA Bruins 1 Texas Longhorns
Projected champion UCLA Bruins
Projected champion: UCLA Bruins Board upsets: 0

Title Odds

Team Seed Region Rating R32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Title Gm Champion
1 East 0.9959 97.0% 91.4% 82.5% 73.3% 47.3% 29.2%
1 West 0.9950 96.1% 90.2% 78.8% 66.0% 37.3% 21.9%
1 South 0.9946 95.9% 88.3% 77.6% 63.9% 38.1% 19.9%
1 Midwest 0.9946 95.4% 87.9% 77.3% 56.0% 34.5% 17.4%
2 Midwest 0.9906 92.5% 81.8% 65.2% 30.4% 14.8% 5.6%
2 South 0.9831 87.0% 69.8% 49.0% 16.7% 5.4% 1.4%
2 West 0.9819 86.1% 67.0% 44.7% 13.8% 4.3% 1.3%
3 East 0.9749 82.0% 57.6% 33.1% 7.0% 2.1% 0.6%
2 East 0.9769 83.3% 61.5% 36.9% 8.1% 2.8% 0.6%
3 West 0.9749 81.2% 56.9% 29.8% 7.3% 1.6% 0.3%
3 South 0.9726 79.2% 52.6% 24.9% 6.4% 1.8% 0.2%
4 South 0.9707 77.3% 46.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2%
4 West 0.9706 77.2% 45.3% 9.1% 4.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 Midwest 0.9717 79.3% 52.1% 17.9% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2%
4 Midwest 0.9714 79.3% 50.3% 10.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2%
5 West 0.9672 72.1% 39.0% 7.3% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1%
4 East 0.9688 75.2% 42.2% 6.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1%
6 East 0.9517 63.0% 25.4% 11.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 Midwest 0.9595 68.1% 32.9% 6.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
5 East 0.9685 73.8% 41.6% 6.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
5 South 0.9652 71.6% 36.6% 6.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
6 South 0.9527 63.6% 27.2% 9.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
6 Midwest 0.9550 63.9% 29.2% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
7 West 0.9446 57.9% 17.3% 7.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
8 South 0.9410 53.0% 6.0% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
8 East 0.9367 50.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
11 West 0.9221 39.4% 11.8% 3.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
6 West 0.9526 60.6% 24.9% 9.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
7 East 0.9452 58.2% 21.0% 8.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
7 South 0.9423 56.1% 15.9% 5.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
8 Midwest 0.9420 54.9% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
7 Midwest 0.9421 55.8% 9.3% 3.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
8 West 0.9385 51.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
9 West 0.9334 48.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
10 South 0.9243 43.9% 9.7% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
10 West 0.9242 42.1% 10.4% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
9 East 0.9353 49.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
11 East 0.9232 37.0% 10.8% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
9 Midwest 0.9260 45.1% 4.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
10 East 0.9238 41.8% 11.5% 4.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
10 Midwest 0.9254 44.2% 6.3% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
9 South 0.9327 47.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
13 West 0.9101 22.8% 7.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
11 Midwest 0.9195 36.1% 11.3% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
12 South 0.9171 28.4% 9.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
12 East 0.9125 26.2% 8.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
11 South 0.9221 36.4% 12.2% 3.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
13 South 0.9046 22.6% 8.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
12 West 0.9158 27.9% 8.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
13 East 0.9123 24.8% 7.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
14 Midwest 0.9037 20.7% 7.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
12 Midwest 0.9179 31.9% 9.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
14 East 0.8971 17.9% 6.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
14 West 0.8997 18.8% 6.4% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
14 South 0.9022 20.8% 8.0% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
15 South 0.8933 13.0% 4.7% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
15 Midwest 0.8924 7.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
16 West 0.8889 3.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
16 East 0.8885 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
13 Midwest 0.9044 20.7% 7.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
15 East 0.8951 16.7% 5.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
15 West 0.8943 13.9% 5.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Midwest 0.8903 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 South 0.8895 4.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Upcoming Tournament Window Schedule

Upcoming games for the next ~10 days. During March this should mostly be conference tournament and NCAA tournament traffic.

No upcoming games found.