Iowa Hawkeyes
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1583 (#8) | Preseason prior 1597 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1272, returning +194, transfers +132, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1338 (#11) | HCA +179 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1177 (#13) | HCA +178 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +29.7 (#16) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +29.2 (#16) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.986 (#24) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.955 (#14) | AdjNet +28.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.967 (#12) | AdjNet +31.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.896 (#17) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 55.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.861 (#17) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 55.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.924 (#17) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.919 (#18) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1347 (#13) | RD 167 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.971 (#9) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Towson Tigers | W | 73 - 45 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Eastern Illinois Panthers | W | 80 - 39 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | UConn Huskies | L | 79 - 91 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | Northern Iowa Panthers | W | 78 - 40 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Vanderbilt Commodores | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | Montana State Bobcats | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dani Carnegie
|
G | 4 | 28.0 | 16.8 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.5 | 10.0 | 11 | 3 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 46.6 | 23.3 | 60.0 | -0.08 | 53.7 | 52.6 |
Ava Heiden
|
G | 4 | 21.8 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 10.8 | 32 | 3 | 10.7 | 20.1 | 72.7 | 0 | 57.1 | 3.05 | 72.1 | 72.7 |
McKenna Woliczko
|
F | 4 | 25.2 | 12.5 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 42 | 3 | 14.0 | 22.6 | 62.5 | 47.1 | 66.7 | 1.52 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Chazadi Wright
|
G | 4 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 8.5 | 47 | 3 | 15.7 | 20.6 | 42.1 | 47.8 | 87.5 | 2.51 | 60.2 | 56.6 |
Journey Houston
|
G | 4 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 19 | 3 | 6.3 | 13.4 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | -0.38 | 40.9 | 41.7 |
Taylor Stremlow
|
G | 4 | 18.8 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 37 | 3 | 12.3 | 26.6 | 38.1 | 21.4 | 100.0 | 3.63 | 46.6 | 45.2 |
Amari Whiting
|
G | 4 | 23.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 10.2 | 56 | 3 | 18.7 | 29.6 | 46.2 | 28.6 | 66.7 | 3.24 | 59.0 | 53.8 |
Jocelyn Faison
|
G | 4 | 15.8 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 15 | 3 | 5.0 | 13.5 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0.81 | 44.7 | 36.7 |
Layla Hays
|
C | 4 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 24 | 3 | 8.0 | 21.8 | 37.5 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.14 | 52.7 | 37.5 |
Bria Medina
|
G | 2 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.22 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Ella Stromdahl
|
F | 2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 24.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Iowa Hawkeyes players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Iowa Hawkeyes game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark | 2020-24 | WNBA | Indiana Fever | 40 | 31.1 | 22.3 | 4.0 | 8.3 | 10-01 18 pts, 2 reb, 4 ast Playoffs | no games |
| Kate Martin | 2019-24 | WNBA | Chicago Sky (2 teams) | 19 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 09-24 5 pts, 0 reb, 1 ast | no games |
| Lucy Olsen | 2024-25 | WNBA | Washington Mystics | 22 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 09-22 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | no games |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Caitlin Clark | WNBA Playoffs | Indiana Fever | @ Las Vegas Aces | 37 | 18 | 2 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-09-29 | Caitlin Clark | WNBA Playoffs | Indiana Fever | vs Las Vegas Aces | 33 | 27 | 7 | 15 | Box |
| 2026-09-27 | Caitlin Clark | WNBA Playoffs | Indiana Fever | @ Las Vegas Aces | 34 | 15 | 3 | 10 | Box |
| 2026-09-24 | Kate Martin | WNBA | Chicago Sky | @ Washington Mystics | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-22 | Lucy Olsen | WNBA | Washington Mystics | vs Connecticut Sun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-09-22 | Kate Martin | WNBA | Chicago Sky | vs Toronto Tempo | 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-20 | Lucy Olsen | WNBA | Washington Mystics | @ Indiana Fever | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-09-17 | Lucy Olsen | WNBA | Washington Mystics | @ Chicago Sky | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-08-20 | Kate Martin | WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks | vs Atlanta Dream | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-04-29 | Lauren Jensen | WNBA Preseason | Phoenix Mercury | vs JAPAN | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-04-25 | Lauren Jensen | WNBA Preseason | Phoenix Mercury | vs Chicago Sky | 16 | 6 | 1 | 3 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
245 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Dani CarnegieAva HeidenMcKenna WoliczkoChazadi WrightJourney HoustonTaylor StremlowAmari WhitingJocelyn Faison
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 57-74 | 77.0 | 114 | Ava Heiden 33% (38 pts) | Dani Carnegie 19% (22 pts) | Journey Houston 29% (5 misses) | Ava Heiden 24% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 16-40 | 40.0 | 32 | Ava Heiden 25% (8 pts) | Chazadi Wright 25% (8 pts) | Ava Heiden 21% (5 misses) | Chazadi Wright 17% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-8 | 50.0 | 8 | Dani Carnegie 50% (4 pts) | Bria Medina 25% (2 pts) | Journey Houston 50% (2 misses) | Chazadi Wright 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-3 | 66.7 | 4 | Dani Carnegie 50% (2 pts) | Taylor Stremlow 50% (2 pts) | Taylor Stremlow 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 3-12 | 25.0 | 6 | Dani Carnegie 67% (4 pts) | Ava Heiden 33% (2 pts) | Chazadi Wright 56% (5 misses) | Dani Carnegie 11% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-7 | 42.9 | 9 | McKenna Woliczko 67% (6 pts) | Chazadi Wright 33% (3 pts) | McKenna Woliczko 50% (2 misses) | Chazadi Wright 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-9 | 33.3 | 9 | Amari Whiting 33% (3 pts) | Journey Houston 33% (3 pts) | Jocelyn Faison 33% (2 misses) | Chazadi Wright 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 18-39 | 46.2 | 54 | Chazadi Wright 33% (18 pts) | Dani Carnegie 33% (18 pts) | Dani Carnegie 43% (9 misses) | McKenna Woliczko 14% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-19 | 15.8 | 9 | McKenna Woliczko 67% (6 pts) | Chazadi Wright 33% (3 pts) | Chazadi Wright 25% (4 misses) | Dani Carnegie 25% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-34 | 26.5 | 27 | Chazadi Wright 33% (9 pts) | McKenna Woliczko 22% (6 pts) | Dani Carnegie 32% (8 misses) | Chazadi Wright 16% (4 misses) |