Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +17 (102-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 34 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 30 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aliyah Boston * | 25 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Makayla Timpson * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lexie Hull * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 28 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Raven Johnson | 21 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mercedes Russell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Grace VanSlooten | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 34 | 15-19 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 38 | - | - | |
| Chelsea Gray * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jackie Young * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jewell Loyd | 27 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mai Yamamoto | 13 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kierstan Bell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kalani Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justine Pissott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter