Princeton
2026-2027 Team Stats (5 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1397 (#27) | Preseason prior 1311 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1172, returning +197, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1237 (#31) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1235 (#32) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.5 (#50) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +17.5 (#50) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.846 (#81) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.841 (#52) | AdjNet +16.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.853 (#48) | AdjNet +16.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.724 (#65) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 55.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.723 (#65) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 55.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.821 (#49) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.821 (#49) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1276 (#28) | RD 163 | GP 5 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.867 (#42) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Belmont Bruins | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Richmond Spiders | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Murray State Racers | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Villanova Wildcats | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Pepperdine Waves | W | 49 - 41 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | UCLA Bruins | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | George Mason Patriots | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fadima Tall
|
G | 5 | 31.4 | 22.6 | 10.6 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 14.4 | 21.0 | 32 | 5 | 6.4 | 8.1 | 52.8 | 42.9 | 82.4 | 2.24 | 65.0 | 59.0 |
Skye Belker
|
G | 5 | 36.4 | 14.2 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 12.6 | 6.8 | 34 | 5 | 6.8 | 7.5 | 36.5 | 34.6 | 88.9 | 2.64 | 50.1 | 43.7 |
Olivia Hutcherson
|
G | 5 | 31.2 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 8.4 | 10.6 | 38 | 5 | 7.6 | 9.9 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 72.7 | 3.09 | 59.8 | 57.1 |
Toby Nweke
|
G | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 12.7 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.1 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
Ashley Chea
|
G | 5 | 31.2 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 17 | 5 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 32.5 | 10.5 | 50.0 | 0.55 | 35.9 | 35.0 |
Emily Eadie
|
F | 5 | 18.4 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 6.6 | -4 | 5 | -0.8 | -1.8 | 47.1 | 40.0 | 57.1 | -2.58 | 54.8 | 52.9 |
Grace O'Sullivan
|
G | 5 | 25.0 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 1 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 53.8 | 62.5 | 0 | -1.84 | 73.1 | 73.1 |
Cristina Parrella
|
G | 5 | 14.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 33 | 5 | 6.6 | 18.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0.6 | 25.3 | 25.0 |
Mari Bickley
|
G | 5 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 12 | 5 | 2.4 | 15.7 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.18 | 34.2 | 14.3 |
Sarah Lessig
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Sarah Aldeguer
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Mei-Ling Perry
|
G | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -6.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.85 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Eva Smith
|
F | 2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -9.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.03 | 0 | 0 |
Ava Yoon
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Princeton players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Princeton game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Chen | 2021-24 | WNBA | Golden State Valkyries | 44 | 15.3 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 10-31 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast Playoffs | 7 GP, 2.1 PPG, 0.3 RPG, 1.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Kaitlyn Chen | WNBA Playoffs | Golden State Valkyries | vs Atlanta Dream | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-29 | Kaitlyn Chen | WNBA Playoffs | Golden State Valkyries | @ Atlanta Dream | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-26 | Kaitlyn Chen | WNBA Playoffs | Golden State Valkyries | vs Atlanta Dream | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
276 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Fadima TallSkye BelkerOlivia HutchersonAshley CheaGrace O'SullivanEmily EadieCristina Parrella
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 47-72 | 65.3 | 94 | Olivia Hutcherson 34% (32 pts) | Fadima Tall 32% (30 pts) | Fadima Tall 28% (7 misses) | Olivia Hutcherson 28% (7 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 27-62 | 43.5 | 54 | Fadima Tall 33% (18 pts) | Olivia Hutcherson 19% (10 pts) | Fadima Tall 29% (10 misses) | Skye Belker 23% (8 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 10-16 | 62.5 | 20 | Ashley Chea 50% (10 pts) | Fadima Tall 30% (6 pts) | Ashley Chea 33% (2 misses) | Fadima Tall 33% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-12 | 25.0 | 6 | Olivia Hutcherson 67% (4 pts) | Fadima Tall 33% (2 pts) | Skye Belker 56% (5 misses) | Ashley Chea 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 5-22 | 22.7 | 10 | Skye Belker 40% (4 pts) | Cristina Parrella 20% (2 pts) | Skye Belker 41% (7 misses) | Ashley Chea 18% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 6-13 | 46.2 | 18 | Emily Eadie 33% (6 pts) | Fadima Tall 17% (3 pts) | Fadima Tall 29% (2 misses) | Mari Bickley 29% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-8 | 12.5 | 3 | Grace O'Sullivan 100% (3 pts) | - | Skye Belker 71% (5 misses) | Grace O'Sullivan 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 10-32 | 31.2 | 30 | Fadima Tall 30% (9 pts) | Skye Belker 30% (9 pts) | Ashley Chea 50% (11 misses) | Skye Belker 23% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-15 | 33.3 | 15 | Fadima Tall 40% (6 pts) | Skye Belker 40% (6 pts) | Ashley Chea 30% (3 misses) | Skye Belker 30% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-24 | 29.2 | 21 | Fadima Tall 43% (9 pts) | Skye Belker 43% (9 pts) | Cristina Parrella 24% (4 misses) | Fadima Tall 24% (4 misses) |