🐻⬇️🏀

Virginia Cavaliers

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Virginia Cavaliers
Program History

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

74.7
PPG
64.7
Opp
+10.0
Margin
43.7%
FG%
32.0%
3P%
71.7%
FT%
42.1
RPG
16.8
APG
13.9
TO
85.2
Pace
77.8
AdjO
57.5
AdjD
#35
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1165 (#79) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1236 (#51) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1099 (#66) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +20.6 (#36) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +32.7 (#35) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.837 (#56) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.4 More → 0.908 (#39) NetEff +18.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +30.6 More → 0.972 (#36) AdjNet +30.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +31.4 More → 0.975 (#36) AdjNet +31.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 57.5 More → 0.864 (#35) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 57.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 62.8 More → 0.745 (#41) AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 62.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.953 (#34) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.935 (#33) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 32 More → 1251 (#47) RD 100 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Morgan State Lady Bears W 86 - 36
2025-11-09 vs Bucknell Bison W 80 - 35
2025-11-13 vs UMBC Retrievers L 56 - 61
2025-11-16 vs Radford Highlanders W 77 - 46
2025-11-20 vs Longwood Lancers W 94 - 47
2025-11-24 vs Northwestern State Lady Demons W 69 - 48
2025-11-30 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 92 - 59
2025-12-03 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 68 - 81
2025-12-07 @ Boston College Eagles W 81 - 55
2025-12-20 vs Winthrop Eagles W 88 - 53
2025-12-29 vs SMU Mustangs W 76 - 52
2026-01-01 vs Clemson Tigers W 73 - 63
2026-01-04 @ Florida State Seminoles W 91 - 87
2026-01-08 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 61 - 59
2026-01-11 vs Syracuse Orange L 60 - 79
2026-01-15 @ Duke Blue Devils L 58 - 65
2026-01-22 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 84 - 46
2026-01-25 vs NC State Wolfpack L 76 - 78
2026-01-29 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 109 - 103
2026-02-01 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 64 - 76
2026-02-05 vs Miami Hurricanes W 67 - 56
2026-02-08 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 81 - 70
2026-02-12 @ California Golden Bears L 58 - 64
2026-02-15 @ Stanford Cardinal W 75 - 69
2026-02-22 @ Louisville Cardinals W 74 - 72
2026-02-26 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 70 - 82
2026-03-01 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 82 - 83
2026-03-05 vs Clemson Tigers L 50 - 63
2026-03-19 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 57 - 55
2026-03-21 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs W 82 - 73
2026-03-23 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 83 - 75
2026-03-28 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 69 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Johnson K. Johnson G 32 37.6 19.7 4.4 5.9 2.1 0.2 3.0 16.0 13.2 79 3.6 3.5 41.3 36.4 84.4 1.43 55.3 50.9
P. Clark P. Clark G 32 29.6 9.6 4.7 3.0 1.7 0.6 1.6 8.3 9.6 54 2.2 2.9 42.3 33.0 69.7 2.04 51.4 47.9
T. Amanze T. Amanze F 32 22.4 9.2 6.1 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.9 7.7 8.8 -41 -1.9 -3.0 46.9 0.0 73.3 -4.47 52.0 46.9
R. Levy R. Levy G 31 25.7 8.1 3.8 2.0 1.2 0.6 1.4 6.8 7.5 77 3.7 5.1 48.1 36.0 82.6 3.48 57.2 55.5
C. Weimar C. Weimar F 32 22.8 8.0 5.9 0.6 0.5 1.4 1.0 5.0 10.3 153 7.0 11.8 60.0 33.3 76.5 4.61 65.2 60.3
S. Smith S. Smith F 22 26.7 7.4 6.8 1.4 0.6 0.8 1.6 7.3 8.1 34 2.1 4.3 43.1 18.8 65.5 2.38 47.2 45.0
G. White G. White G 32 15.6 6.1 3.4 1.9 0.5 0.4 1.6 5.6 5.2 54 2.5 5.1 44.1 9.1 50.0 0.81 46.3 44.4
B. Hurd B. Hurd F 23 11.8 3.6 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 2.7 2.9 -4 -0.3 -1.0 45.2 26.1 67.7 -2.61 54.9 50.0
A. Ring A. Ring F 27 11.7 3.4 2.5 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 3.5 3.0 21 1.1 2.6 35.8 24.4 54.5 -0.57 43.5 41.6
J. Brown J. Brown G 30 12.8 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.7 3.0 2.4 149 8.8 14.3 31.1 30.4 70.0 2.26 42.4 40.6
O. McGhee O. McGhee G 4 12.5 2.5 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.2 3.8 0.8 -1 -0.2 -0.9 26.7 15.4 0 -1.05 33.3 33.3
R. Dias Dos Santos R. Dias Dos Santos G 12 8.4 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.3 2.6 0.6 22 1.8 12.3 29.0 25.0 50.0 1.72 38.2 37.1
D. Arigbabu D. Arigbabu F 5 4.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.4 -7 -1.2 -14.5 20.0 0 100.0 -1.86 34.0 20.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG