Virginia - 2026-2027 | Sports Data

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

84.8

PPG

49.8

Opp

+35.0

Margin

52.1%

FG%

44.8%

3P%

75.8%

FT%

42.3

RPG

16.5

APG

14.5

TO

70.0

Est. poss./game

75.4

Adj PPG

52.8

Adj Opp PPG

#28

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1174 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1164, returning +83, transfers -73, freshmen +0 More →	1215 (#71)	Preseason prior 1174 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1164, returning +83, transfers -73, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +169 elo More →	1144 (#68)	HCA +169 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +169 elo More →	1142 (#68)	HCA +169 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More →	+24.9 (#29)	HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More →	+24.8 (#29)	HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.974 (#31)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +35.4 More →	0.924 (#25)	AdjNet +35.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +35.5 More →	0.930 (#28)	AdjNet +35.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.4 \| AdjD 52.8 More →	0.843 (#28)	AdjO 75.4 \| AdjD 52.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.4 \| AdjD 52.8 More →	0.843 (#28)	AdjO 75.4 \| AdjD 52.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.873 (#32)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.873 (#31)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 170 \| GP 4 More →	1183 (#59)	RD 170 \| GP 4
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More →	0.860 (#47)	Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2026-11-02	vs	Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks	W	87 - 45
2026-11-05	@	Davidson Wildcats	W	72 - 57
2026-11-08	vs	William & Mary Tribe	W	99 - 58
2026-11-11	vs	Drexel Dragons	W	81 - 39
2026-11-15	@	Old Dominion Monarchs	-	Preview
2026-11-19	vs	James Madison Dukes	-	Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Show Alumni If everyone stayed four years

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Kymora Johnson	G	4	28.0	19.5	4.0	4.5	2.5	0.0	1.8	11.2	17.5	97	4	24.2	35.1	62.2	61.1	78.6	5.85	76.2	74.4
Breona Hurd	F	4	26.2	15.2	7.8	1.8	2.8	0.5	2.5	10.8	14.8	72	4	18.0	28.3	53.5	38.9	53.3	1.58	61.5	61.6
Mary-Anna Asare	G	4	28.8	14.8	4.5	1.5	1.0	0.0	2.2	8.8	10.8	78	4	19.5	27.9	60.0	53.3	90.0	2.18	74.9	71.4
Adeang Ring	F	4	18.8	7.2	6.5	0.2	0.5	1.0	0.8	5.0	9.8	73	4	18.2	40.4	50.0	75.0	100.0	1.7	64.0	57.5
Caterina Piatti	C	4	23.0	6.8	2.8	2.0	0.5	0.5	1.5	6.0	5.0	62	4	15.5	28.1	45.8	14.3	80.0	-0.78	51.5	47.9
Olivia McGhee	G	4	11.2	6.0	1.5	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.8	3.5	4.8	31	4	7.8	28.9	57.1	50.0	66.7	-1.35	78.3	78.6
Eris Lester	G	3	15.3	5.7	5.7	0.7	0.7	0.3	2.0	4.7	6.3	31	3	10.3	27.6	50.0	50.0	100.0	0.36	57.1	53.6
Lyla Coogen	F	4	9.8	3.5	1.5	0.8	0.0	0.2	0.2	2.8	3.0	52	4	13.0	57.5	36.4	42.9	100.0	2.99	56.8	50.0
Sintija Aukstikalnyte	G	4	19.5	3.2	2.5	1.8	1.0	0.2	1.8	5.2	1.8	54	4	13.5	27.8	19.0	10.0	66.7	1.79	27.5	21.4
Erica Gribble	G	4	14.0	3.0	2.0	2.5	0.2	0.0	0.2	1.8	5.8	73	4	18.2	54.7	71.4	66.7	0	4.56	85.7	85.7
Janae Walker	F	4	9.2	1.2	1.5	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.5	2.5	37	4	9.2	40.8	100.0	0	50.0	0.57	86.8	100.0
Tabitha Amanze	F	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Emilie Brzonova	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Virginia players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Virginia game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date	Player	League	Team	Opponent	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	Box
2026-04-29	Latasha Lattimore	WNBA Preseason	Chicago Sky	vs Atlanta Dream	12	2	2	0	Box
2026-04-25	Latasha Lattimore	WNBA Preseason	Chicago Sky	@ Phoenix Mercury	11	4	0	0	Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

236 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Kymora JohnsonBreona HurdAdeang RingCaterina PiattiOlivia McGheeEris LesterLyla CoogenSintija Aukstikalnyte

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	37-52	71.2	74	Breona Hurd 27% (20 pts)	Mary-Anna Asare 24% (18 pts)	Adeang Ring 20% (3 misses)	Caterina Piatti 20% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	36-74	48.6	72	Kymora Johnson 22% (16 pts)	Breona Hurd 14% (10 pts)	Breona Hurd 18% (7 misses)	Kymora Johnson 18% (7 misses)
Mid-range left	3-6	50.0	6	Eris Lester 33% (2 pts)	Kymora Johnson 33% (2 pts)	Kymora Johnson 67% (2 misses)	Breona Hurd 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center	2-2	100.0	4	Breona Hurd 50% (2 pts)	Kymora Johnson 50% (2 pts)	-	-
Mid-range right	2-6	33.3	4	Caterina Piatti 50% (2 pts)	Kymora Johnson 50% (2 pts)	Sintija Aukstikalnyte 50% (2 misses)	Adeang Ring 25% (1 misses)
Left corner 3	8-20	40.0	24	Breona Hurd 38% (9 pts)	Mary-Anna Asare 25% (6 pts)	Sintija Aukstikalnyte 33% (4 misses)	Breona Hurd 17% (2 misses)
Right corner 3	3-7	42.9	9	Adeang Ring 33% (3 pts)	Olivia McGhee 33% (3 pts)	Breona Hurd 50% (2 misses)	Caterina Piatti 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left	11-29	37.9	33	Kymora Johnson 36% (12 pts)	Breona Hurd 27% (9 pts)	Breona Hurd 28% (5 misses)	Mary-Anna Asare 22% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center	11-19	57.9	33	Lyla Coogen 27% (9 pts)	Adeang Ring 18% (6 pts)	Caterina Piatti 25% (2 misses)	Kymora Johnson 25% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right	10-21	47.6	30	Kymora Johnson 40% (12 pts)	Erica Gribble 20% (6 pts)	Olivia McGhee 27% (3 misses)	Breona Hurd 18% (2 misses)