🐻⬇️🏀

Louisville Cardinals

Also known as: Louisville Cardinals
Program History

2026 Team Stats (37 games)

78.7
PPG
61.0
Opp
+17.7
Margin
45.8%
FG%
34.3%
3P%
71.6%
FT%
40.9
RPG
16.9
APG
13.4
TO
85.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1127 (#40) HCA +113 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +40.3 (#15) HCA +2.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 55.6 More → 0.848 (#16) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 55.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.980 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.971 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 37 More → 1317 (#20) RD 99 | GP 37

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ UConn Huskies L 66 - 79
2025-11-09 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 89 - 61
2025-11-12 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 74 - 68
2025-11-16 @ Clemson Tigers W 65 - 54
2025-11-19 vs Morehead State Eagles W 96 - 49
2025-11-22 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 62 - 72
2025-11-28 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 91 - 38
2025-11-29 @ East Tennessee State Bucs W 88 - 50
2025-11-30 vs Bellarmine Knights W 100 - 37
2025-12-04 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 77 - 79
2025-12-07 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 94 - 43
2025-12-10 vs Ball State Cardinals W 93 - 62
2025-12-14 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 76 - 66
2025-12-17 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 76 - 51
2025-12-20 vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers W 89 - 65
2026-01-01 vs SMU Mustangs W 91 - 58
2026-01-04 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 85 - 60
2026-01-08 @ Miami Hurricanes W 77 - 68
2026-01-11 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 86 - 46
2026-01-15 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 79 - 66
2026-01-18 @ NC State Wolfpack W 88 - 80
2026-01-25 vs Boston College Eagles W 85 - 56
2026-01-29 @ Stanford Cardinal W 84 - 66
2026-02-01 @ California Golden Bears W 71 - 59
2026-02-05 vs Duke Blue Devils L 58 - 59
2026-02-08 @ Syracuse Orange W 84 - 65
2026-02-12 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 86 - 67
2026-02-15 vs Florida State Seminoles W 88 - 65
2026-02-22 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 72 - 74
2026-02-26 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 69 - 50
2026-03-01 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 62 - 65
2026-03-06 vs Syracuse Orange W 87 - 61
2026-03-07 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 65 - 57
2026-03-08 @ Duke Blue Devils L 65 - 70
2026-03-21 vs Vermont Catamounts W 72 - 52
2026-03-23 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 69 - 68
2026-03-28 @ Michigan Wolverines L 52 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Roberts T. Roberts G 37 29.1 11.5 2.4 3.1 1.4 0.1 1.8 11.0 5.6 43 1.7 2.2 38.9 35.3 75.4 0.43 49.2 46.9
L. Ziegler L. Ziegler F 37 28.2 11.0 6.9 2.9 0.6 0.5 1.5 9.5 10.9 29 1.1 1.5 45.2 36.1 91.1 -0.55 54.7 52.0
I. Berry I. Berry G 37 23.5 10.9 4.8 2.7 1.5 0.5 1.4 9.1 9.8 121 4.7 8.4 43.8 37.1 80.9 3.58 54.9 51.6
E. Istanbulluoglu E. Istanbulluoglu F 36 26.4 10.1 5.1 1.7 0.8 0.2 1.4 7.8 8.7 23 0.9 1.3 50.4 34.5 69.6 -0.6 57.9 55.7
M. Randolph M. Randolph F 37 25.0 8.5 5.6 1.5 1.0 0.4 1.1 6.2 9.6 129 5.0 8.5 53.0 32.8 79.7 4.83 60.8 57.2
S. Jones S. Jones G 34 16.6 8.4 2.9 1.0 1.5 0.0 1.2 6.9 5.8 59 2.3 4.3 44.6 30.8 74.0 1.59 53.4 48.9
J. Scott J. Scott G 37 24.2 8.2 2.4 2.8 1.2 0.4 2.2 7.0 5.9 42 1.8 5.3 45.3 34.0 73.9 -0.24 52.5 48.8
A. Hardy A. Hardy F 35 11.4 4.9 4.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.4 3.1 6.5 -22 -0.9 -2.4 66.7 0 38.2 -0.1 61.6 66.7
P. Bradley P. Bradley G 9 8.9 3.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.6 3.8 1.7 56 2.5 3.1 35.3 30.8 100.0 3.5 48.7 47.1
R. Bender R. Bender G 20 10.7 3.2 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.2 -62 -4.1 -17.2 40.8 36.1 64.7 -5.35 56.7 54.1
G. Mbugua G. Mbugua F 18 7.4 3.0 3.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 2.9 3.3 18 1.8 15.4 42.3 20.0 66.7 -0.36 47.1 44.2
Y. Putra Y. Putra F 24 9.3 2.5 2.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.1 2.5 2.4 -38 -2.1 -8.3 45.8 0 63.6 -4.73 47.8 45.8
R. Graves R. Graves G 20 5.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.1 -35 -2.5 -24.3 33.3 20.0 0 -2.55 40.3 40.3
I. Juffermans I. Juffermans F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG