Model Predictions
| Model | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.6% | 98.4% | +31.1 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +30.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +19 (86-67). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora Sorbye * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | -14.8 |
| Grace Oliver * | 32 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | -1.5 |
| Opal Bird * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Mary Carter * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Milan Brown * | 23 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Caitlyn Jones | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Emily Johns | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5.6 |
| Grace Galbavy | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Madisyn Jordan | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +4.5 |
| Kennedy Moore | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1.6 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tajianna Roberts * | 24 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +7.2 |
| Mackenly Randolph * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +9.9 |
| Laura Ziegler * | 19 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Elif Istanbulluoglu * | 17 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +10.5 |
| Anaya Hardy * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Reyna Scott | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 | +6.9 |
| Skylar Jones | 18 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +9.5 |
| Imari Berry | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +5.7 |
| Grace Mbugua | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Reagan Bender | 14 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -3.8 |
| Yevheniia Putra | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5.2 |
| Rebekah Graves | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -6.3 |
* = starter