Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | -0.4 | ✗ (2.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +6.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -3 (62-65). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iyana Moore * | 39 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Hannah Hidalgo * | 36 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 34 | - |
| Vanessa de Jesus * | 36 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Malaya Cowles * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Cassandre Prosper * | 15 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| KK Bransford | 26 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gisela Sanchez | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tajianna Roberts * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Elif Istanbulluoglu * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Mackenly Randolph * | 29 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Laura Ziegler * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Anaya Hardy * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Imari Berry | 31 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Reyna Scott | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Skylar Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Grace Mbugua | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter