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2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“
Margin 56.0% 44.0% -1.3 โœ“ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 73.7% 26.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% - โœ“

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -13 (66-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tajianna Roberts 36 5-10 4-5 5-5 5 3 1 0 3 19 15 +14.8
Mackenly Randolph 34 3-7 0-2 4-6 7 1 0 1 0 10 12 +21.6
Imari Berry 29 3-9 1-2 0-0 5 3 2 1 0 7 9 +16.5
Reyna Scott 28 9-13 1-2 1-1 4 3 3 1 1 20 17 +9.9
Laura Ziegler 27 1-7 0-1 0-0 8 1 1 3 2 2 6 +11.8
Elif Istanbulluoglu 23 5-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 11 6 +7.4
Skylar Jones 11 1-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -7.7
Anaya Hardy 10 3-5 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 -1.4
Grace Mbugua 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.9

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hannah Hidalgo 40 8-19 1-4 7-10 5 8 1 0 2 24 17 +3.8
Iyana Moore 39 6-11 4-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 16 11 -4.7
Cassandre Prosper 38 3-11 3-3 0-0 10 0 1 1 2 9 8 -8.2
Malaya Cowles 37 6-14 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 2 1 12 6 -0.9
Vanessa de Jesus 37 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 3 1 3 3 3 -10.0
Gisela Sanchez 9 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 3 -0.5

* = starter