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Michigan State

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

87.0
PPG
52.7
Opp
+34.3
Margin
45.8%
FG%
26.5%
3P%
74.0%
FT%
49.0
RPG
19.3
APG
13.3
TO
78.0
Est. poss./game
75.0
Adj PPG
56.2
Adj Opp PPG
#34
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1217 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1153, returning +42, transfers +22, freshmen +0 More → 1245 (#60) Preseason prior 1217 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1153, returning +42, transfers +22, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +169 elo More → 1165 (#57) HCA +169 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +169 elo More → 1163 (#56) HCA +169 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More → +24.3 (#32) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More → +24.2 (#32) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.965 (#39) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.8 More → 0.874 (#41) AdjNet +25.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.2 More → 0.891 (#40) AdjNet +27.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 56.2 More → 0.817 (#34) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 56.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 56.2 More → 0.815 (#34) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 56.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.851 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.851 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 185 | GP 3 More → 1185 (#58) RD 185 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.842 (#49) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 98 - 44
2026-11-07 @ Toledo Rockets W 72 - 64
2026-11-11 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 91 - 50
2026-11-15 @ Harvard Crimson - Preview
2026-11-19 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kennedy Blair Kennedy Blair G 3 27.0 16.7 7.3 7.0 2.0 0.3 2.0 12.3 19.0 75 3 25.0 37.5 51.4 0.0 75.0 5.99 56.8 51.4
Theryn Hallock Theryn Hallock G 3 25.3 14.7 5.3 3.0 3.7 0.0 1.3 9.7 15.7 66 3 22.0 34.7 55.2 22.2 71.4 2.82 62.6 58.6
Monique Bobongie Monique Bobongie G 3 25.3 10.7 5.3 2.0 0.0 0.7 2.7 8.0 8.0 74 3 24.7 39.1 45.8 20.0 88.9 2.39 57.2 50.0
Kathy-Emma Otto Kathy-Emma Otto F 3 21.3 9.3 7.7 1.0 3.7 1.3 0.7 8.0 14.3 68 3 22.7 42.0 45.8 0.0 66.7 3.13 50.1 45.8
Emma Broliron Emma Broliron G 3 17.0 7.3 1.0 1.7 1.7 0.0 2.3 6.0 3.3 29 3 9.7 22.6 38.9 44.4 100.0 0.31 55.7 50.0
Amy Terrian Amy Terrian G 3 21.0 7.0 2.7 1.0 1.7 0.0 0.7 6.7 5.0 47 3 15.7 29.7 35.0 38.9 0 2.48 52.5 52.5
Lilly Williams Lilly Williams C 3 10.0 6.0 4.3 0.0 1.7 1.3 1.7 4.7 7.0 41 3 13.7 53.7 35.7 0 88.9 1.87 50.1 35.7
Anna Wypych Anna Wypych G 3 11.3 5.0 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.7 4.3 3.0 17 3 5.7 20.4 38.5 14.3 66.7 1.11 48.0 42.3
Tabitha Betson Tabitha Betson F 3 22.7 5.0 6.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 4.3 9.3 62 3 20.7 36.2 53.8 0.0 50.0 2.41 54.0 53.8
S. Sambolić S. Sambolić G 2 11.5 4.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 2.5 20 2 10.0 35.3 50.0 50.0 25.0 1.35 51.5 58.3
Uche Kaine Uche Kaine F 2 3.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 3 2 1.5 18.6 0 0 75.0 -0.08 85.2 0
Anna Terrian Anna Terrian G 2 11.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 2.5 14 2 7.0 25.0 33.3 33.3 0 0.82 50.0 50.0
Alie Bisballe Alie Bisballe F 2 2.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -1 2 -0.5 -8.0 50.0 0 0 -1.33 50.0 50.0
Carter McCray Carter McCray F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Isaline Alexander Isaline Alexander F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Michigan State players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Michigan State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Grace VanSlooten 2024-26 WNBA Indiana Fever (2 teams) 18 5.2 1.9 0.7 0.2 09-27 2 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast Playoffs no games

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-09-27 Grace VanSlooten WNBA Playoffs Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces 2 2 0 0 Box
2026-09-24 Grace VanSlooten WNBA Indiana Fever @ Minnesota Lynx 10 9 2 0 Box
2026-08-28 Grace VanSlooten WNBA Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun 2 0 0 0 Box
2026-04-29 Jalyn Brown WNBA Preseason Seattle Storm vs Portland Fire 4 0 3 1 Box
2026-04-25 Sidney Cooks WNBA Preseason Chicago Sky @ Phoenix Mercury 10 2 1 0 Box
2026-04-25 Kamaria McDaniel WNBA Preseason Washington Mystics vs Minnesota Lynx 8 1 1 1 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

203 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Blair24% Blair27% Blair50% Wypych100% Terrian33% Broliron100% Terrian50% Sambolić100% Terrian67%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Otto28% Blair29% Bisballe100% Bobongie38% Wypych33% Terrian33% Betson50% Terrian22%
Misses: who misses most here

Kennedy BlairMonique BobongieKathy-Emma OttoAmy TerrianEmma BrolironTabitha BetsonAnna WypychS. SambolićAnna TerrianAlie Bisballe

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 42-67 62.7 84 Kennedy Blair 24% (20 pts) Kathy-Emma Otto 19% (16 pts) Kathy-Emma Otto 28% (7 misses) Lilly Williams 20% (5 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 30-64 46.9 60 Kennedy Blair 27% (16 pts) Theryn Hallock 20% (12 pts) Kennedy Blair 29% (10 misses) Kathy-Emma Otto 15% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 2-2 100.0 4 Kennedy Blair 50% (2 pts) Tabitha Betson 50% (2 pts) - -
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 1-2 50.0 2 Anna Wypych 100% (2 pts) - Alie Bisballe 100% (1 misses) -
Left corner 3 3-11 27.3 9 Anna Terrian 33% (3 pts) Monique Bobongie 33% (3 pts) Monique Bobongie 38% (3 misses) Theryn Hallock 38% (3 misses)
Right corner 3 2-5 40.0 6 Emma Broliron 100% (6 pts) - Anna Wypych 33% (1 misses) Monique Bobongie 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 6-30 20.0 18 Amy Terrian 50% (9 pts) Anna Wypych 17% (3 pts) Amy Terrian 33% (8 misses) Emma Broliron 17% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-7 14.3 3 S. Sambolić 100% (3 pts) - Tabitha Betson 50% (3 misses) Anna Terrian 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 6-15 40.0 18 Amy Terrian 67% (12 pts) Emma Broliron 17% (3 pts) Amy Terrian 22% (2 misses) Anna Wypych 22% (2 misses)