Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +20 (86-66). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 21 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Caitlin Clark * | 17 | 1-12 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lexie Hull * | 16 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aliyah Boston * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Makayla Timpson * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Raven Johnson | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bree Hall | 13 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyasha Harris | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michelle Onyiah | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Grace VanSlooten | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Caldwell * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Napheesa Collier * | 24 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kayla McBride * | 23 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Courtney Williams * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Natasha Howard * | 20 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Antonia Delaere | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aari McDonald | 19 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nia Brodie | 13 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dorka Juhasz | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chloe Bibby | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Liatu King | 8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter