Ohio State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
82.5
PPG
53.5
Opp
+29.0
Margin
46.5%
FG%
26.9%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
43.0
RPG
17.5
APG
18.5
TO
75.9
Est. poss./game
73.3
Adj PPG
56.4
Adj Opp PPG
#23
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1475 (#16) | Preseason prior 1489 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1242, returning +304, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1264 (#24) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1258 (#24) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +31.3 (#14) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +31.1 (#14) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.986 (#24) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.953 (#15) | AdjNet +31.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.967 (#13) | AdjNet +34.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.872 (#23) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 56.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.868 (#23) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 56.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.917 (#19) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.916 (#19) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1284 (#25) | RD 171 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.936 (#24) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | UIC Flames | W | 81 - 34 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Central Michigan Chippewas | W | 103 - 36 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Mercyhurst Lakers | W | 91 - 57 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | UConn Huskies | L | 55 - 87 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Ole Miss Rebels | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaloni Cambridge
|
G | 4 | 28.2 | 20.8 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 16.2 | 14.2 | - | - | - | - | 43.1 | 29.2 | 80.0 | - | 54.6 | 48.5 |
Elsa Lemmilä
|
C | 4 | 23.8 | 13.2 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 17.0 | 70 | 4 | 17.5 | 30.3 | 76.9 | 33.3 | 85.7 | 2.54 | 82.4 | 78.8 |
Ava Watson
|
G | 4 | 28.0 | 12.0 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 10.8 | 6.8 | 92 | 4 | 23.0 | 33.8 | 44.2 | 29.6 | 50.0 | 3.04 | 53.6 | 53.5 |
Kennedy Cambridge
|
G | 4 | 29.2 | 11.2 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 7.2 | 14.5 | 95 | 4 | 23.8 | 33.3 | 58.6 | 37.5 | 100.0 | 7.25 | 72.1 | 69.0 |
Sydney Mobley
|
F | 4 | 14.2 | 9.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 19 | 4 | 4.8 | 14.2 | 63.0 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -1.68 | 65.8 | 64.8 |
Kylee Kitts
|
G | 4 | 23.5 | 7.2 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 6.5 | 8.0 | 71 | 4 | 17.8 | 30.1 | 42.3 | 16.7 | 54.5 | 1.23 | 47.0 | 44.2 |
Adriana Diaz
|
F | 4 | 18.2 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 7.2 | 58 | 4 | 14.5 | 31.6 | 25.0 | 12.5 | 81.8 | 3.13 | 43.2 | 28.1 |
Bryn Martin
|
G | 4 | 18.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 41 | 4 | 10.2 | 22.5 | 21.4 | 28.6 | 66.7 | 0.72 | 32.6 | 28.6 |
Seini Henry
|
F | 4 | 8.2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 9 | 4 | 2.2 | 11.5 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.39 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
Atlee Vanesko
|
G | 4 | 8.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | -0.2 | -5 | 4 | -1.2 | -6.7 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.27 | 11.1 | 11.1 |
Ella Hobbs
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Ohio State players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Ohio State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 2014-18 | WNBA | Indiana Fever | 44 | 32.5 | 24.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 10-01 23 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast Playoffs | no games |
| Cotie McMahon | 2022-25 | WNBA | Washington Mystics | 42 | 19.6 | 6.6 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 09-30 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast Playoffs | no games |
| Jacy Sheldon | 2019-24 | WNBA | Chicago Sky | 44 | 20.6 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 09-24 4 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast | no games |
| Dorka Juhász | 2018-21 | WNBA | Minnesota Lynx | 21 | 15.2 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 09-29 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast Playoffs | no games |
| Chance Gray | 2024-26 | WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks | 40 | 11.4 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 09-24 3 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast | no games |
| Kierstan Bell | 2019-20 | WNBA | Las Vegas Aces | 29 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 10-07 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast Playoffs | no games |
| Taylor Thierry | 2021-25 | WNBA | Seattle Storm | 17 | 9.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 09-23 3 pts, 1 reb, 2 ast | no games |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Kierstan Bell | WNBA Playoffs | Las Vegas Aces | @ Golden State Valkyries | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-04 | Kierstan Bell | WNBA Playoffs | Las Vegas Aces | @ Golden State Valkyries | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-01 | Kelsey Mitchell | WNBA Playoffs | Indiana Fever | @ Las Vegas Aces | 36 | 23 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-09-30 | Cotie McMahon | WNBA Playoffs | Washington Mystics | vs Atlanta Dream | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-09-29 | Kierstan Bell | WNBA Playoffs | Las Vegas Aces | @ Indiana Fever | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-09-29 | Kelsey Mitchell | WNBA Playoffs | Indiana Fever | vs Las Vegas Aces | 34 | 26 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-09-29 | Dorka Juhász | WNBA Playoffs | Minnesota Lynx | @ New York Liberty | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-09-27 | Kelsey Mitchell | WNBA Playoffs | Indiana Fever | @ Las Vegas Aces | 30 | 12 | 0 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-09-27 | Dorka Juhász | WNBA Playoffs | Minnesota Lynx | vs New York Liberty | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-27 | Cotie McMahon | WNBA Playoffs | Washington Mystics | @ Atlanta Dream | 20 | 4 | 0 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-09-24 | Jacy Sheldon | WNBA | Chicago Sky | @ Washington Mystics | 19 | 4 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-09-24 | Dorka Juhász | WNBA | Minnesota Lynx | vs Indiana Fever | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-24 | Cotie McMahon | WNBA | Washington Mystics | vs Chicago Sky | 19 | 12 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-09-24 | Chance Gray | WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks | vs Golden State Valkyries | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-23 | Taylor Thierry | WNBA | Seattle Storm | vs Dallas Wings | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-09-22 | Jacy Sheldon | WNBA | Chicago Sky | vs Toronto Tempo | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-09-22 | Chance Gray | WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks | @ Las Vegas Aces | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-09-20 | Taylor Thierry | WNBA | Seattle Storm | @ Las Vegas Aces | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-09-20 | Chance Gray | WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks | vs Portland Fire | 17 | 11 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-09-19 | Taylor Thierry | WNBA | Seattle Storm | @ Golden State Valkyries | 31 | 7 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-09-19 | Jacy Sheldon | WNBA | Chicago Sky | @ Atlanta Dream | 24 | 9 | 1 | 4 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
260 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Jaloni CambridgeAva WatsonKennedy CambridgeAdriana DiazBryn Martin
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 58-77 | 75.3 | 116 | Jaloni Cambridge 26% (30 pts) | Elsa Lemmilä 22% (26 pts) | Jaloni Cambridge 37% (7 misses) | Sydney Mobley 21% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 25-51 | 49.0 | 50 | Ava Watson 20% (10 pts) | Elsa Lemmilä 20% (10 pts) | Jaloni Cambridge 23% (6 misses) | Kylee Kitts 23% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 5-9 | 55.6 | 10 | Ava Watson 40% (4 pts) | Jaloni Cambridge 40% (4 pts) | Bryn Martin 50% (2 misses) | Ava Watson 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-10 | 30.0 | 6 | Ava Watson 67% (4 pts) | Jaloni Cambridge 33% (2 pts) | Jaloni Cambridge 43% (3 misses) | Kylee Kitts 29% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-9 | 22.2 | 4 | Ava Watson 50% (2 pts) | Jaloni Cambridge 50% (2 pts) | Jaloni Cambridge 43% (3 misses) | Ava Watson 29% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-13 | 30.8 | 12 | Kennedy Cambridge 50% (6 pts) | Ava Watson 25% (3 pts) | Kennedy Cambridge 33% (3 misses) | Atlee Vanesko 22% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 5-13 | 38.5 | 15 | Ava Watson 80% (12 pts) | Bryn Martin 20% (3 pts) | Ava Watson 25% (2 misses) | Bryn Martin 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 10-36 | 27.8 | 30 | Kennedy Cambridge 40% (12 pts) | Jaloni Cambridge 30% (9 pts) | Jaloni Cambridge 31% (8 misses) | Ava Watson 23% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-11 | 27.3 | 9 | Adriana Diaz 33% (3 pts) | Elsa Lemmilä 33% (3 pts) | Adriana Diaz 50% (4 misses) | Jaloni Cambridge 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-31 | 19.4 | 18 | Jaloni Cambridge 50% (9 pts) | Ava Watson 17% (3 pts) | Ava Watson 36% (9 misses) | Jaloni Cambridge 24% (6 misses) |