๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2026-09-20

Model Predictions

Model Portland Fire Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 53.7% 46.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 โœ“ (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +21 (105-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Fire

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nyadiew Puoch * 26 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 1 7 - -
Carla Leite * 25 7-10 1-2 8-12 3 5 0 0 23 - -
Megan DiLeo * 25 4-8 0-3 3-4 5 1 2 1 11 - -
Emily Engstler * 21 3-8 1-2 3-4 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Karlie Samuelson * 19 2-7 1-6 3-4 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Frieda Buhner 23 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Jordan Harrison 22 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 4 3 0 2 - -
Charisma Osborne 21 4-8 1-3 4-5 1 1 1 0 13 - -
Serah Williams 14 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 6 - -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nneka Ogwumike * 27 9-19 1-4 1-1 12 5 2 0 20 - -
Rae Burrell * 24 5-8 2-3 8-9 2 2 0 1 20 - -
Ariel Atkins * 20 5-7 1-3 3-3 5 2 1 0 14 - -
Erica Wheeler * 15 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 9 - -
Emma Cannon * 13 2-4 2-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Tonie Morgan 20 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 4 1 1 7 - -
Ndjakalenga Mwenentanda 19 1-5 0-2 4-6 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Monique Akoa Makani 17 1-3 1-2 3-4 1 3 0 0 6 - -
Chance Gray 17 3-5 3-5 2-2 1 0 0 1 11 - -
Shyanne Sellers 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -
Jihyun Park 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter