Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.9% | 28.1% | -5.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -18 (75-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordin Canada * | 35 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Allisha Gray * | 34 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Naz Hillmon * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Rhyne Howard * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Angel Reese * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isobel Borlase | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Madina Okot | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sika Kone | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonia Citron * | 37 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 10-11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kiki Iriafen * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Shakira Austin * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Georgia Amoore * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michaela Onyenwere * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cassandre Prosper | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lauren Betts | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alicia Florez | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cotie McMahon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Angela Dugalic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter